Automated system for issuing bank guarantees based on forecasting the execution of government contracts

Abstract

Automated system for issuing bank guarantees based on forecasting the execution of government contracts

Korchagin S.A., Dogadina E.P., Melentiev V.V., Nikitin P.V., Serdechny D.V.

Incoming article date: 08.06.2023

In order to provide information support for decision-making on the issuance of bank guarantees for the execution of a contract in the field of public procurement, it is important for banks to obtain historically accumulated information on the execution of government contracts. This is necessary to assess the possibility of the supplier's performance of his future contract. This can be done by collecting and aggregating information about contracts from the Unified Information System in the field of procurement. The paper proposes to use IT technologies and data analysis to predict the performance of the contract and identify bona fide suppliers. In the work, a selection of primary data on contracts was formed for modeling using the parsing of the FTP server of the Unified Information System in the field of procurement, and the parsed data was preprocessed for use in machine learning models.

Keywords: information system, data analysis, government contract, data parsing, machine learning