The results of the pilot survey conducted in late 2016 are presented. The purpose of the measurement was identifying deprivation of students as a characteristic indicator of political tension among the youth. The cognitive component of the perception of their relative deprivation was determined by direct survey. Using the obtained results the distribution function of these parameters according respondents was constructed. In the whole group it was received a fairly low declared level of deprivation. The sub-group with low and average level is 92% and only 8% of respondents noted the high level of this indicator. Interpretation of survey data was conducted using the early developed psychosemantic phenomenological stochastic model. In the model the relationship of level of emotional perception with the received data was determined stochastic integral-differential equation. It had a Monte Carlo in the multi-agent simulation package AnyLogic. In the end, the statistical characteristics such as the distribution function for affective perception of the relative deprivation according respondents were determined. In the whole group affective component is higher than the declared cognitive one. It is suggesting the need for assessments of deprivation using not only the cognitive measure, but also affective measure. In particular, the proportion of respondents with high deprivation according to this estimation higher than that obtained by direct survey and is 12%. This part of respondents is a subgroup of the risk opportunities for the development of the protest.
Keywords: political tensions, relative deprivation, cognitive component, a direct survey , the affective component, semantic differential, stochastic model, a typical potential, Monte-Carlo distribution function, group risk
Abstract: The analysis of absolute stability is reduced to solving the problem of the distribution of the roots of a real polynomial with respect to the unit circle.Televisions recurrent expressions for by the computer to determine the coefficients for a system of arbitrary order. The machine is a technique for solving the problem of the distribution of the roots of the polynomial by computing determinants innorov and counting the number of sign changes in the ranks of the special values innornyh determinants whose elements are uniquely associated with the parameters of the system under study. To calculate determinants of matrices of values can be reduced to a triangular form, using the Gaussian elimination algorithm. However, a special kind of matrix (the presence of the left triangle of zeros) provides extremely effective double triangulyarizatsii algorithm that allows to determine the values innorov by computers with minimal cost.
Keywords: Keywords: nonlinear pulse systems, the calculation of the coefficients of polynoms, building innornyh matrices, determination of absolute stability on the basis of analysis of the distribution of the roots of the polynomial by computing determinants innor
The use of a self-timed look up table is explored in order to realize systems of logical functions. The self-timed look up table is modeled in its operational and spacer stages in NI Multisim 10 electronic schematic capture and simulation program by National Instruments Electronics Workbench Group. Efficiency of technical solution is confirmed. Systems of logical functions are described in a principal disjunctive normal form. The problems are set for further research.
Keywords: self-timed curcuit, CMOS transistor, paraphase channel, logical functional system, look up table (LUT), inverter, operating stage, spacer stage, logical element, principal disjunctive normal form (PDNF)
The possibility of improving the management efficiency of the main business processes of a logistics enterprise on the basis of an integrated assessment of strategic risks is considered. The methodology is based on the idea of sharing the technology of simulation and two concepts: the Balanced Scorecard (BSС) and the Integrated Risk Management System (IRMS). We propose formula for calculating operational risk based on port statistics collected while running the simulation model, namely the chosen values of the triangular distribution of the statistical data. Also presented a formula linguistic evaluation of integrated strategic risk, lead to the conclusion the risk that previously designated port strategy will not be achieved.
Keywords: Strategic risk, risk management system, logistics enterprise, business processes, balanced scorecard, strategic map, management decisions, competitiveness, simulation modeling
The article deals with the role of optimal number of protected connection canals from the point of you of economics and their orifitability quantity. The quantity of the profitability norm which should be obeyed at directed calculation is considered from the attitude of a person making decisions considering required level of information security. Here is the example of optimal calculation from the point of you of maximal profitability of he numbers of protected canals of data transmission.
Keywords: information security, secure channel of communication, closed channel of data transfer, profitability norm, optimum number of channels, obtaining information
An inportant and challenging task for a market analyst is to predict a value or a direction of a certain indicator based on the behaviour of a given financial instrument. In this paper we use random forest algorithms to predict a value and a direction of an implied volatility of RTS index options. We collect and prepare the historical data with an algorithm which takes into account both the actual trades history and the ordlog. We then examine and use the effect of volatility clustering which can be observed on such options. Finally, we construct some simple option trading strategies based on the predictions we made and measure their performance on a subset of our historical data. The results obtained shows that such approach can of use as one of the mechanisms for making decisions in practical trading, and needs further research.
Keywords: option, trading strategies, random forest, RTS index, spot market
The article presents an approach to predicting changes in the dynamics of events, on the example of traffic analysis, using statistical data. Perfomed analisys of traffic sniffer systems as queueing system. Presented the relevance of the forecasting traffic changes. The pattern matching algorithm allows you to build a forecast, both for regular dynamics, and for unexpected bursts. The prediction algorithm allows to improve the work of traffic analysis systems for periods of high load.
Keywords: Network monitoring, traffic analysis, forecasting, queuing system, random events, service requests
Investigated the organizational and educational aspects of the promotion of convergent education in Southern federal university. The results and capabilities-proven multidisciplinary approach in training of specialists of high level.The necessity of forming the structure, processes and training programs of the NBICS specialists in the form of a transdisciplinary environment is revealed. It is shown that the latter is formed as a result of the coordinated integration of the environments for the formation of goals, implementation and resource support of the transdisciplinary educational program. The hierarchical nature formation for each of the environments was noted. Describes the hierarchy of objectives, reflecting the diversity and alternativeness of educational trajectories. Presents insourcing center, integrating the outsourcing potential in research and design of structures. The educational direction of the meta-environment of NBICS-convergence is defined.
Keywords: NBIC-technologies, NBICS convergence, convergence of knowledge, interdisciplinarity, transdisciplinarity, outsourcing, insourcing, center for collective use, innovation
The article discusses research methodology of intrapersonal conflict by using the affective component of appropriate social attitudes. We analyze three kinds of internal contradictions. Which are classified by K. Levin as the conflict of ""Desire-Commitment"", ""Avoidance-Avoidance"" and ""Commitment-Avoidance"". They are all connected with a choice of appropriate object or action (equal or different valences) of the two equally probable. The affective component of perception of such internal contradictions is determined by the technology of semantic differential on the basis of the survey conducted at the end of 2016 among students DSTU. For the interpretation of the results used the previously developed technique. The distribution functions of the emotional perception of those conflicts are described in article. Which were calculated as in the linear approximation and a nonlinear lookup psychosemantic model. It is obtained that the average affective perception of the studied conflicts neutral or close to that. But the researched audience is very heterogeneous in its emotional attitude to such conflicts. The distribution function is strongly smeared almost all over the range of levels of perception. While approximately half of the respondents are characterized by positive attitude to internal contradictions. This suggests that positive role of conflicts associated with the resolution of problems of an appropriate level subconsciously affects on estimates. A few unexpected results were obtained by a comparison of the perception of conflicts ""the Desire-the Desire"" and ""Avoidance-Avoidance"". Distribution function for the problem of the choice of two positive options is being shifted to the left, in the negative direction, compared with the function for a choice of two unattractive possibilities. The work has shown the promising use of such figure as the affective perception for researching of intrapersonal conflict. The obtained results possess as General methodical so purely situational, specific significances.
Keywords: conflict, intrapersonal, emotional perception, semantic differential, psycho-semantic model, distribution function, stratification of groups, comparative analysis, perception of types of conflicts
The article reveals the challenges of designing oil and gas sector, associated with large economic costs and shows how to use modern methods of design, namely through the creation of an information model of the project, it is possible to avoid errors at all stages of creation and implementation of the project. Application of information model of the project according to preliminary estimates, could lead to savings of up to 10% of economic resources. Today, many companies have successfully used the BIM model, one of the biggest example is the oil and gas field in Badr.
Keywords: information design, BIM, simulation, implementation of the project, Gazprom-Neft
The article proposes a special device which enables to improve the preparative processes during the main pipeline break at any technique of general maintenance or trench breaking. The device has been made to fix characteristic points on the surface of the earth. The application will enable to exclude the use of stakes or pegs driven into the ground. The device allows to continuously mark the space without stopping the machine to apply a special mix. The use of the marking on portions of pipeline bends will enable to cut the volume of the ground extracted from the trench and therefore to reduce the length of stripping. The application of the device will allow to improve the preparative processes prior to stripping works. The use of the proposed device will give the opportunity of its application in all the climatic conditions nationwide.
Keywords: Akhmedov A. M.
Steady growth of the Russian Federation, the car park has led to the fact that almost all major cities of the country settings of the road network does not meet the increased intensity of traffic on basic highways in recent years. A significant increase in traffic volumes require to make informed decisions on the organization and management of road traffic on the basis of reliable information about the parameters of traffic flow. Modern problems of traffic in Volgograd considered in the article. The research results of basic characteristics of traffic flow in the more overloading parts of the road network and of the organization of work of public transport routes Volgograd. Set out possible ways of increasing the throughput of the street and road network and speed traffic flow. A comprehensive approach to solve this problem, including measures to improve traffic light control and traffic management of urban public transport, as well as the use of Intelligent transport systems.
Keywords: street and road network, traffic flow, traffic capacity, urban passenger transport, coordinated traffic light control, intelligent transport systems
Разработан вариант рационального проектного решения торгового комплекса «Золотой» в г. Ростове-на-Дону путем замены конструкции покрытия для увеличения шага колонн 2 этажа. Исследование напряженно-деформированного состояние элементов каркаса здания методом конечных элементов. Для оптимизации проектных решений здания торгового комплекса выполнен сравнительный расчет конструктивных схем структурных покрытий типов «Кисловодск» и «БрГТУ». Даны рекомендации по конструктивным решениям покрытия каркаса здания.
Keywords: finite element method, finite element, structural coverage, the design load combination, section, design scheme
Effective use of high-strength reinforcement in concrete structures - an important task today. Studies of Russian and foreign scientists have shown that the most expedient are combination of prestressed and untensioned reinforcement in section. When designing the compressed concrete elements with prestressed reinforcement should strive to reduce the amount of pre-tension reinforcement in columns, on the contrary, to increase the pre-compressed in short elements. In elements with pre-compressed steel, untensioned reinforcement is needed, because it provides improving crack resistance during transmission technology process tensile stresses on the concrete and untensioned reinforcement. The percentage of this reinforcement should be the minimum necessary to achieve the required cracking resistance. Minimal amount of pre-tension reinforcement adopted at the level of prestressing (usually the highest) should be taken of the conditions provide the desired crack resistance and rigidness. Later in the article describes main principles the calculation minimum number of prestressed reinforcement in reinforced concrete elements to the presentation requirements of the first, second and third categories crack resistance.
Keywords: concrete, reinforcement, steel, reinforced concrete, prestressing, crack resistance, rigidity, bearing capacity, deformation
The article proposes an innovative device to install main pipes sections into strings when building and maintaining the linear pipeline portion. The spacial process flowcharts are given to install main pipeline sections into strings and the general view of the proposed device. The application of the device will enable to reduce the number of the pipe-laying machines and to completely avoid the application of special devices and mechanisms when supporting sections and and adjusting their edges to perform welding and insulation works. The device can be used also for tying in of the 24 and 36 m strings into one branch. One can achieve a considerable simplification of the working operation for adjustment and matching the edges of the two extended pipe sections. The proposed device will improve the equipment for the repair and construction site in general and to enhance the quality of the active works.
Keywords: main pipeline, general maintenance, adjustment of pipe sections, building of the linear portions of main pipelines, repair and construction site.
It was determined that considering the European vector of Russia's development is the urgent creation of a legislative and legal basis for the use of standard construction contracts that are understandable and familiar to European investors. The main functions of the participants are listed. It was determined the possible place and role consulting engineer in the building practices in Russia with the use of different organizational forms of construction control. The involvement of engineering consultants, the client must be on a competitive basis. Thus, the purpose of scientific and methodological support of the customer this process needs to be developed standard requirements engineering consultants for various types of contracts.
Keywords: upgrade, process, organization, construction, FIDIC, engineer, management, participant, customer, contract, investor
The authors considers the sustainable development of the housing stock of a large city from the perspective of four factors: the energy efficiency of buildings under construction and reconstruction; capital repairs of apartment buildings, taking into account their energy requirements; the choice between the building and reconstruction on the criterion of resource costs; management of housing resources on the basis of the requirements of a comfortable stay of owners and improving the quality of exerting-proxy services in the housing sector. According to the authors, for the sustainable development of housing is necessary to apply energy saving modern building materials, products and structures and assess the life cycle of buildings in the choice of organizational and technical decisions on the demolition or renovation of buildings.
Keywords: Sustainable development, energy-efficient buildings, big city, building, construction, reconstruction
The subject of this article is the regulation of stress - strain state in the elements of a structural coating of a unique building of technical Museum. The architectural solution of the object is made in the shape of an airplane, which the fuselage is formed by a vaulted covering with a span of 30 m, and the wings are 38 m consoles. The system of main console trusses and links between them forms the construction of a wing. Several versions of the geometric diagrams of the basic console trusses are proposed. The optimum version of the geometric diagram of construction is selected according to the results of the static calculation. The analysis of the stress-strained state of structural coating with the different variants of the connections between the basic trusses is executed according to the results of calculations for the dynamic loads.
Keywords: the regulation of stress - strain state, geometric diagram, console, structural coating, finite element method, static calculation, dynamic loads
Inter-municipal environmental waste recycling complex. The article deals with the problem of waste recycling in the Southern Federal District. The article deals with one of the most comprehensive methods to address the problem of the Rostov Region Government.
Keywords: Municipal solid waste, secondary material resources, inter-municipal waste recycling complex
the article presents an overview of the most common ways of measuring the volume (mass) of bulk materials currently used in various industries. The comparative analysis presented in the article methods of assessment. It is established that current methods of calculating volumes of granular media have a number of disadvantages, which significantly affects the quality of the product and its value. It is revealed that it is most expedient to carry out measurement of the volume of granular media directly in the containers or the vehicle taking into account the main characteristics of the material — moisture content, bulk and true density, temperature and fractional composition.
Keywords: bulk materials, volume, mass, rapid method, density weighing
A ceramic penomassy with the best performance ratio, durability, viscosity and the limiting shear stress, the optimum conditions of maximum air entrainment and further stabilization is obtained penomassy. On the multiplicity of Promass is strongly influenced by the composition of clay raw materials and water-solids ratio, there are optimal values of water relations for clay raw materials of various kinds, when the multiplicity penomassy has a maximum value.
Keywords: clay raw materials, foaming agent, penomassu, multiplicity, cellular ceramics
This paper logically continues the first part of the work describing roof construction with the use of translucent materials. The analysis of the current tendencies in the construction of roofs for sports and entertainment facilities showed that the contemporary studies are focused on the development of sliding roofs and the most recent trends feature façade and roof coatings made of ethylene copolymer and tetrafluorethylene based (ETFE) film. This paper discusses the most prominent advantages of membrane cushion roofing in the light of the summary analysis covering the articles of foreign authors. It mentions that ETFE cushion roofs are also used to restore buildings and structures of historical significance. The paper goes on to suggest a new structure of sliding roof and describes the construction technology taking into account the experience of building ETFE cushion roofs.
Keywords: sports, entertainment facilities, sliding roof systems, construction technology, ethylene copolymer and tetrafluorethylene based film
Treatment methods of roadway covering with deicing product, including salt, reducing winter slipperiness, do not provide traffic safety at unpredictable drops in air temperature. Surface distribution of sleetproof materials covering pollutes the environment to a large degree and increases corrosive attack to metal parts of the car. The solution to this problem is the use of asphalt-concrete mixes with deicing properties.
Keywords: Stone-mastiphiс asphalt, SMA, icing additive, сoated ice adhesion, stabilizing additives, test lottman, national standart
the paper presents the analysis of volumes of waste wood processing industries in the form of sawdust and considers modern directions of their use. It justifies the rationality of production of fibreboard by using a semifinished product obtained from sawdust. The mathematical description of the process of production of wood-fiber plates with the addition of a semifinished product obtained from sawdust as the total weight, thus establishing the quantitative relationship of studied process parameters physico-mechanical parameters of the finished plate.
Keywords: Zyryanov M.A., Aksenov N.V.